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Capstone Thread: Evidence Before Complexity

This module creates the first capstone slice.

Required commits

  1. problem-contract: actor, decision, horizon, action, harms, fallback.
  2. data-card: provenance, schema, authority, splits, exclusions, retention.
  3. baselines: current workflow plus at least one statistical baseline.
  4. evaluation: frozen-set protocol, metrics, slices, calibration, error taxonomy.
  5. decision: selected approach, rejected alternatives, stop conditions.

Review gate

A reviewer runs the clean command, verifies the data fingerprint, challenges one assumption, and asks you to defend three errors from raw records. Advancement requires reproducibility and a credible baseline; model sophistication earns no substitute credit.